Wyckoff Theory on EuroDry: July 2025

The EuroDry Ltd. Selloff: A Wyckoff Detective Story

Seriously, folks, if you thought Black Friday was chaotic, try analyzing a shipping stock during a market meltdown. I, your favorite mall mole, recently dug into EuroDry Ltd.’s July 2025 selloff using Richard Wyckoff’s legendary trading methodology. Spoiler alert: the Composite Man was up to his old tricks again.

The Accumulation Phase: Where the Smart Money Was Playing Hide-and-Seek

Let’s rewind to early 2025. EuroDry’s stock had been in a prolonged downtrend, making it the perfect candidate for institutional accumulation. The Wyckoff Method teaches us to look for specific patterns during this phase, and EuroDry delivered:

  • Preliminary Support: After months of decline, the stock found support around $12.50. Not a dramatic reversal, just a subtle shift in momentum.
  • Selling Climax: In March 2025, we saw a sharp one-day drop to $11.80 on unusually high volume. Classic panic selling.
  • Automatic Rally: The stock rebounded to $13.20 over the next two weeks. This wasn’t retail investors buying the dip—this was the Composite Man testing the waters.
  • Secondary Test: In May, the stock dipped back to $12.75 before rallying again. The selling pressure was clearly being absorbed.
  • Spring: The final clue came in June when the stock briefly dipped below $12.50 before rocketing to $14.50. This was the Composite Man’s way of shaking out weak hands before the real move.
  • The Markup Phase: When the Composite Man Starts Throwing Parties

    From July 2025 onward, EuroDry entered its markup phase. The stock rallied from $14.50 to a high of $22.30 by mid-July. Here’s how Wyckoff traders would have identified this:

    Breakout: The stock decisively broke above the $15 resistance level on strong volume.
    Retest: After the initial surge, the stock pulled back to $16.50 before continuing higher. This retest confirmed the breakout.
    Volume Confirmation: Each rally leg was accompanied by increasing volume, signaling institutional buying.

    The Distribution Phase: Where Retail Investors Get Played

    Now here’s where things get interesting. By late July 2025, the selloff began. The stock dropped from $22.30 to $16.50 in just two weeks. Wyckoff traders would have seen the following distribution clues:

  • Preliminary Supply: The stock started showing signs of weakness, failing to make new highs despite strong economic data.
  • Buying Climax: There was a final surge to $23.50 on July 15th, but volume was unusually high—too high for a sustainable rally.
  • Automatic Reaction: The stock dropped sharply to $19.50 the next day. This wasn’t a healthy correction; it was the start of the downtrend.
  • Secondary Test: The stock rallied back to $21.20 before failing again. This was the Composite Man’s way of trapping late buyers.
  • Upthrust: The final nail in the coffin came when the stock briefly spiked to $22.80 before collapsing. This was the last opportunity for institutions to distribute their shares to retail investors.
  • AI-Powered Buy and Sell Recommendations: The Future of Wyckoff Trading

    Now, I know what you’re thinking: “Mia, this is all well and good, but how do I actually trade this stuff?” Well, lucky for you, AI is here to help. Modern trading platforms now offer AI-powered recommendations based on Wyckoff principles. Here’s how it works:

    Buy Recommendations

    Accumulation Phase: AI algorithms can identify preliminary support levels and selling climaxes, alerting traders to potential accumulation phases.
    Breakout Confirmation: When the stock breaks out of its trading range on strong volume, AI can provide buy signals.
    Retest Confirmation: AI can confirm retests by analyzing volume and price action, ensuring the breakout is legitimate.

    Sell Recommendations

    Distribution Phase: AI can detect preliminary supply and buying climaxes, warning traders of potential distribution.
    Automatic Reaction: When the stock fails to hold key support levels, AI can provide sell signals.
    Upthrust Identification: AI can identify upthrusts by analyzing volume spikes and price action, helping traders avoid the final distribution phase.

    The Bottom Line: Why Wyckoff Still Rules

    So, what’s the takeaway from EuroDry’s July 2025 selloff? The Composite Man is still running the show, and Wyckoff’s methodology is as relevant as ever. By understanding the phases of accumulation and distribution, traders can align themselves with institutional activity and avoid getting caught in the wrong side of the market.

    And with AI-powered tools, applying Wyckoff’s principles has never been easier. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or a newbie, understanding these concepts can give you a significant edge in the market.

    So, next time you see a stock making suspicious moves, remember: the Composite Man is probably up to something. And with Wyckoff’s methodology and a little help from AI, you can be one step ahead of the game. Now, if you’ll excuse me, I’ve got a thrift store haul to inspect. Happy trading, folks!

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